Monday, May 30, 2016

The Probable Unintended Consequences Of Another Third Party Candidate

"Good Intentions" Is Not A Strategy

A Third Party, Presidential Candidate now being considered by establishment Republicans, some Evangelicals and Conservative Independents, is a desperate move to provide a Candidate who doesn't have the huge disapproval ratings, in the polls, as Trump, Clinton and Sanders. The last really big Third Party attempt we had was Perot against Bush #1 and Bill Clinton. Clinton won it with 43% of the popular vote due to the entry of Perot.

Popular vote in 1992 Presidential Race which got us Clinton.

Bill Clinton - 44,909,806 - 43.0% - Democrat

H.W. Bush - 39,104,550 -  37.4% - Republican

Ross Perot  - 19,743,821 - 18.9% - Independent

All other candidates combined only got 00.7%


In the Presidential Election of 1992, Third Party Conservative, Candidate Ross Perot, in his effort to keep the office from Socialist, Liberal Bill Clinton or Semi-Conservative H.W. Bush, unintentionally gave the Presidency to Bill Clinton by dividing the Republican, and Conservative Independent votes, between himself and Bush. Had he not run, almost all of those who voted for Perot, because he was more Conservative than Bush, would have voted for Bush not Clinton. Though I, personally, liked Perot's stand better than the first Bush, I voted for Bush to avoid Liberal Socialist Clinton winning. If Perot had not been in the race, Bush would have won more electoral votes, by far, with somewhere close to 55% of the popular vote, the Clinton machine would have died and we would not be facing Hillary, who is worse than her Bill, today.

As much as I dislike Donald Trump's narcissistic, in your face boasting, I would far rather have him than Hillary's habitual lying, Socialism and ineptness in everything she has ever been involved in .... or Bernie Sanders the flaming Socialist who may actually be a closet Communist. Trump would be much preferable to either of the Democrats.

What very well may happen is that Hillary will be charged with serious crimes and forced to drop out of the race, which would pit Bernie Sanders against Trump and the Third Party Conservative Candidate. I don't think the Democrats would split their party by choosing Biden over Sanders at their convention... but they may. They are, after all, the real Socialist Party in America, but won't admit it. In that scenario, both Trump and Sanders, who have high "negative" disapproval ratings in the polls, and the Third Party Candidate, would probably each get near a third of the popular vote.  In which case the big city states, with large Socialistic welfare populations and the most electoral votes as well, may just give us a self-confessed Socialist as President.  But, who knows, we may wind up with a three party system and someone other than a Democrat or Republican President.

Actually, there is already a Third Party Candidate other than the one I speak of above. It is the Libertarian Party Candidate, Gary Johnson, former Governor of New Mexico, who is involved in and a proponent of legalized Marijuana as well as, in general, live and let live, let everyone do whatever they choose to do, reduce the military, and stay out of foreign affairs. He already has 10% of the popular vote in two polls, but draws his support about equally between Democrat and Republican.

One thing is sure. "Hope" will not determine the outcome of the Presidential election ... Prayer may ... But why should God help us out of this mess when there seems to be no real repentance and turning to God in America? We may just get what we deserve .... which is frightening. The question is ... "Who is the most frightening?"


2 comments:

  1. Matt 10:28
    And fear not them which kill the body, but are not able to kill the soul: but rather fear him which is able to destroy No 6th soul and body in he'll.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Matt 10:28
    And fear not them which kill the body, but are not able to kill the soul: but rather fear him which is able to destroy No 6th soul and body in he'll.

    ReplyDelete